The top 10-15 pitchers in our rankings are similar to the top 10-15 you’ll find on most sites, though not necessarily in the same order. We like Blake Snell a little more and Jack Flaherty a little less, but po-tay-to/po-tah-to. These players will all likely go in the first four or five rounds. After that, things can go in a variety of directions.

DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: 2021 Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet

For instance, we’re not nearly as high on Zac Gallen as most sites despite the young righty impressing over the past two seasons. Gallen is still a high-K hurler who can at least be a No. 2 when healthy on any staff, but we’re just a little worried about his lack of experience and home park. Shouldn’t we also feel that way about Corbin Burnes or Jesus Luzardo? Yeah, we should, but we like Burnes’ slightly higher strikeout potential and Luzardo’s home park a little more. You might disagree. So be it. There are going to be a lot of similar examples at this position.

2021 FANTASY BASEBALL RANKINGS:Catcher | First | Second | Third | Short | Outfield | Reliever | Top 300

Even though we mentioned increased injury risks, you shouldn’t let that impact your selections too much. Obviously, a player like Dinelson Lamet (biceps, elbow) is more of a risk and you don’t want to draft him too early despite his top-10 talent, but even already-injured SPs, such as Chris Sale (elbow) and Luis Severino (elbow), who might not return until around midseason, could have just as much value as SPs who seem spry and ready at the start of the season. All injury risks can quickly become potential values if they’re falling too far.

2021 FANTASY SLEEPERSCatcher | First | Second | Third | Short | Outfield | Pitcher | Each Team

You can go a variety directions when drafting, but it’s not recommended you load up on too many pitchers early. You still likely want at least one ace and a solid No. 2, but filling out your rotation with late-middle or late-round picks – then being a vigilant streamer once the season starts – can work just as well as drafting five pitchers in the first 12 rounds. Getting a mix of “stable” veterans and a few high-upside younger pitchers is usually smart. Focusing on strikeouts – the most repeatable stat – is really the only thing you can rely on. 

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Every other pitching stat is subject to a high level of variance, so it’s also important to study the advanced stats. Unsustainably high or low BABIPs – which could be even more misleading after such a short season – need to be scrutinized more closely, while wins are almost not even worth looking at or trying to project beyond elementary analysis of “pitchers on better teams have a better chance of getting wins.” (Duh)

DRAFT STRATEGY: Snake Draft | S.M.A.R.T. System | Auction Tips

Ultimately, SP is a journey into the great unknown every year, and no matter who your pitchers are after draft day, be prepared to stream and play the matchups. When it comes to pitching, that’s the only strategy you can count on employing every year.

MLB PROSPECTS: Top 50 | Top Hitters | Top Pitchers

We’ll be updating these pitcher rankings as needed throughout the spring, so check back for the latest player movement. 

Fantasy Baseball SP Rankings: Starting Pitcher Tiers, Sleepers, Draft Strategy

Rankings based on 5x5 H2H leagues with Ks, ERA, WHIP, Wins, and Saves as pitching categories. 

Position eligibility based on Yahoo’s default settings